Sunday, October 17, 2004

Polling Data

I read two comforting articles today - especially comforting after looking at a recent White-house poll from Newsweek that puts Bush five points ahead of Kerry (this is outside the margin of error). The first relates to youth demographics in telephone polling samples. Considering how many new voters have been registered to combat the shocking range of Republican controlled structures, this is encouraging information.

The second relates to the polling actually used... John Zogby, an internationally respected pollster, has this to say on the subject - Newsweek is the polling organisation that he explicitly points out as one that has a noticeably larger sample of republicans than democrats. It is telling that the corresponding Time results for the current polling window have the two candidates at neck and neck.

It's not a clear win for Kerry (and Jesus, how badly do you have to screw up for it *not* to be??), but we shouldn't be discouraged... this is going to be a tight election, but I can see a light at the end of the tunnel.

NO MORE YEARS. NO MORE YEARS.

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